Clinical Edge
Blackburn
Blackburn finished well above what their chances were worth — 3 goals from 1.23 xG.
- Goals
- 3
- Expected goals
- 1.23
- Overperformance
- +1.77
Championship · Matchday 7Blackburn
O. Afolayan 41', 58'
A. Gudjohnsen 90'
3 – 1
FT
HT 1–0
Millwall
L. Dykes 51'
Championship
Matchday 7Blackburn3–1Millwall
1.23
Expected goals
1.67
41′51′58′90′
Shot-by-shot xG is not available for this fixture, so the race is shown as full-time totals: BLA 1.23, MIL 1.67.
Match report
Blackburn 3-1 Millwall
Blackburn saw off Millwall 3-1 at Ewood Park in Championship. Afolayan opened the scoring for Blackburn on 41', Dykes levelled for Millwall on 51' from the penalty spot, Afolayan added his second on 58' and Gudjohnsen made it 3-1 to Blackburn on 90'.
Expected goals finished Blackburn 1.23, Millwall 1.67. On the balance of chances Millwall had enough to take something from it, which makes this a result Blackburn will take more happily than the performance deserved. Millwall held 55.0% of the ball.
The numbers picked up more than the scoreline shows. Blackburn graded out for clinical edge — 3 goals and 1.23 expected goals. Millwall graded out for box occupation — 13 of 16 shots in the box and 0.10 xg per shot.
Lyndon Dykes came out of it with the best individual rating on the pitch, 8.5 for Millwall from 1 goal, 1 key pass and 3 shots.
It was a niggly afternoon: 24 fouls between them and 8 yellow cards, with Millwall conceding the most free-kicks (15).
Assembled by TackleZone from this fixture’s match events, team statistics and player ratings. Figures are as reported by the competition feed; where a statistic was not reported, it is left out rather than shown as zero. Longer written analysis is published for selected matches.
Quick stats
45%Possession55%
18Shots16
1.23xG1.67
What the numbers say
5 readsBox Occupation
Millwall
Millwall kept getting bodies into the area — 81% of their shots came from inside the box.
- Shots in the box
- 13 of 16
- Share
- 81%
- xG per shot
- 0.10
Shooting From Range
Blackburn
Blackburn could not get inside the box and settled for distance — 56% of their shots came from outside it.
- Shots from range
- 10 of 18
- Share
- 56%
- xG per shot
- 0.07
Late Drama
Both teams
The game was still moving in the closing minutes — Blackburn scored on 90′.
- Goals after 80′
- 1
- Last goal
- 90′
Timeline
Hayden Carter
Foul
🟨13'
H. Pickering ↑ Y. Ribeiro ↓
🔄16'
Sam Morsy
Foul
🟨38'
O. Afolayan — assist: S. Morsy
⚽41'
Harry Pickering
Foul
🟨45'
🟨45+4'
Zak Sturge
Foul
Half-time
G. Beyuku ↑ R. Alebiosu ↓
🔄46'
🔄46'
M. Sykes ↑ J. Osei-Tutu ↓
🔄46'
Y. Issoufou ↑ R. Esse ↓
Gady Beyuku
Foul
🟨50'
⚽51'
L. Dykes (Pen)
O. Afolayan — assist: T. Atcheson
⚽58'
J. Fevrier ↑ O. Afolayan ↓
🔄69'
A. Gudjohnsen ↑ T. Cantwell ↓
🔄70'
🔄76'
D. Kelly ↑ D. Mazou-Sacko ↓
🟨81'
Jenson Metcalfe
Foul
🔄82'
E. Baggott ↑ J. Metcalfe ↓
🔄82'
Z. Lovelace ↑ J. Cooper ↓
Jayden Fevrier
Time wasting
🟨86'
A. Gudjohnsen — assist: J. Fevrier
⚽90'
🟨90+2'
Mark Sykes
Argument
Match info
Kickoff
VenueEwood Park, Blackburn
RefereeJosh Smith, England
CompetitionChampionship
Season2026
RoundMatchday 7
StatusMatch Finished